In this blog formerly published on USAID's blog page, David Jabobstein highlights ways that development programming can be better managed by understanding and applying probability to shifts in outcomes, and distinguishing directly-supported work from its influence on the probability of larger change.

This is the second blog post on what Democracy, Human Rights, and Governance (DRG) can learn from market systems by David Jabobstein, from USAID's Democracy, Rights and Governance Policy, Learning and Integration Office. It explores what success means in market systems approaches, contrasts it with DRG approaches, and considers implications for DRG programming of borrowing more from this idea of success.

This is the first blog post on what Democracy, Human Rights, and Governance (DRG) can learn from market systems by David Jabobstein. It reflect ways that the Thinking and Working Politically community can learn from practices used in market systems facilitation, highlighting interesting ideas around more rigorous market segmentation and a market system idea of success as a system that is itself evolving.